Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 861.296881 975.918509 1104.505347 1260.294501 1445.061800 1658.604085 1926.113937
2025-03-30 665.335155 808.128737 983.437385 1217.725951 1527.625975 1930.787611 2507.387364
2025-04-06 560.027729 709.734802 904.126938 1180.834861 1574.460120 2130.386714 3005.976600
2025-04-13 484.027452 633.261469 835.452434 1137.703572 1593.310674 2281.641208 3458.521933
2025-04-20 450.642318 607.642962 829.188332 1176.591065 1731.461644 2629.796786 4305.681812
2025-04-27 417.012971 576.508267 809.348099 1189.607240 1828.257197 2927.945577 5151.121182
2025-05-04 389.002739 549.790416 791.732868 1201.677424 1922.876310 3239.157025 6117.213930
2025-05-11 364.194401 524.912602 773.384898 1208.686205 2007.980115 3549.138112 7185.911166
2025-05-18 349.808114 514.383819 776.011965 1250.623962 2162.637783 4029.212848 8827.292301
2025-05-25 334.533707 500.762120 771.690194 1278.959557 2295.469622 4496.294283 10645.844108
2025-06-01 317.509639 482.634541 757.650047 1287.067150 2388.372413 4898.059626 12482.746648
2025-06-08 300.582711 463.169154 739.229797 1284.117998 2456.985648 5260.258178 14394.499438
2025-06-15 288.583713 451.595484 734.527392 1309.299513 2596.854600 5854.189823 17499.400610
2025-06-22 268.103090 423.899837 698.332816 1266.848565 2575.815850 6021.815160 19195.833739
2025-06-29 250.191810 399.377662 665.796215 1227.904022 2556.137972 6189.074591 21026.281752
2025-07-06 233.169520 375.278461 632.084011 1182.602189 2513.416966 6279.342791 22615.165487
2025-07-13 228.049970 372.185114 637.954085 1223.455893 2695.920589 7120.860865 28550.136049
2025-07-20 220.154845 363.409568 631.960428 1237.134628 2810.511757 7789.258179 34397.115591
2025-07-27 212.740212 354.986512 625.890484 1249.820945 2925.410396 8507.032554 41536.774011
2025-08-03 205.320535 346.038983 617.981435 1257.188288 3027.235350 9222.769653 49830.111383
2025-08-10 201.899140 344.463363 624.986366 1301.283517 3247.841357 10510.026654 65148.001723
2025-08-17 197.298884 340.269805 626.126289 1331.088273 3432.601100 11751.741029 83394.450109
2025-08-24 191.135448 332.598046 619.218912 1339.617907 3551.992592 12771.370158 102549.993218